Shooting Straight: Appendices
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Appendix A: Content Analysis Methodology
Sample Selection
The sample was selected by identifying the 20 most-watched scripted TV dramas from network and cable TV and the five most-watched streaming dramas during each season (2019-2020, 2020-2021), as identified by Nielsen ratings. Unscripted, news, children’s, sports content, and comedies were excluded, as were TV shows set in a time period before 1980 or in the future. The genres of sampled TV shows for each season are shown in Table 1.
Genres of sampled TV shows | 2019-2020 (Season 1) | 2020-2021 (Season 2) |
---|---|---|
Police Dramas | 9 | 9 |
Medical Dramas | 4 | 4 |
Supernatural Dramas | 4 | 2 |
Miscellaneous Dramas | 8 | 10 |
For each series, we randomly selected five episodes from each season. This selection process resulted in a total of 250 episodes (125 per season) from 33 unique series.1The full sample of shows and episodes is listed in Appendix C.
Coder Training and Interrater Reliability
We trained a total of 16 undergraduate and graduate students from University of Southern California to watch selected episodes and code them for relevant content. The same training process was used for both seasons. For each season, coding followed a two-month training period that included several rounds of testing and refining the codebook and the training procedures.
After an introductory training session where the codebook was reviewed, all coders analyzed the same episode, randomly selected from our sample of police drama episodes. Inconsistencies in responses were identified and discussed, resulting in minor revisions to the codebook. Another episode from the same series (The Rookie) was then randomly selected and assigned, followed by the same discussion and revision process.2These two initial training episodes were not included in the final reliability analysis.
Next, we assigned 10% of the sample (13 episodes) to be coded by two coders to establish interrater reliability. We deliberately included 10 episodes from police dramas in this sub-sample in an effort to maximize reliability on gun-related items from the outset. Items that achieved adequate reliability were retained in the codebook unchanged.3A Cohen’s Kappa or Krippendorf’s Alpha value of 1.00 indicates perfect reliability (100% agreement). Scores between .80 and .99 are considered strong. Scores between .60 and .79 are considered borderline, and scores below .59 are consid- ered inadequate. Once the codebook was finalized, the remaining 112 episodes from each season were divided among coders. Twelve additional episodes were randomly selected for double-coding. The total of 25 double-coded episodes were used for final reliability calculations.4The full codebook with reliability analysis can be found in Appendix D. Unless otherwise noted, items that achieved inadequate reliability are not included in this report. Some items with inadequate reliability were retained as qualitative findings if there were very few cases, but these numbers should be interpreted with caution.
Coding Procedure
Coders were instructed to exclude episode recaps and title sequences from the analysis. At the episode level (N = 250 across both seasons), coders identified the presence and absence of safe and unsafe gun practices, such as unsecure gun storage, gun use under the influence of drugs or alcohol, shooting into the air, and leaving a loaded gun unattended. They also identified the ways in which characters acquired guns, when identified, and the geographic location where gun violence took place. Finally, we identified how often gun laws were referenced, and how often discussions about gun statistics, safety, and social problems appeared in episodes.
At the character level, coders analyzed the characteristics of those who held or used guns (N = 812) or were shot (N = 235). These included demographics, role size, whether they were law enforcement officers or military personnel, and whether they faced mental health issues, disabilities, or addiction issues.
Appendix B: Experimental Study Methodology
Sample
Survey recruitment and data collection was administered online by Qualtrics Panels, a third party aggregator of market research panels. Respondents were required to be 18 or older and living in the U.S. In addition to general population sampling, we set up quotas to recruit a minimum of 500 gun-owners and 500 parents with children under the age of 18. Our total sample consisted of 3,358 American adults.
Participants were ideologically and geographically diverse:
- Roughly half (49%) reported having a gun in their household and one third (37%) had children under the age of 18.
- The majority were white/Caucasian (85%), followed by Black/African- American (8%), Hispanic/Latinx (7%), and Asian/Asian-American (2%).5Participants could select multiple races/ethnicities when answering this question; as a result, percentages total more than 100.
- They tended toward moderate ideology (37%), as opposed to very liberal (9%) or very conservative (14%).
- Nearly half (49%) reported living in a small city or suburban area, followed by 26% in a rural area, and 24% in a large city or urban area.
Procedure and Measures
After answering screening questions (age, gun ownership, parent status) participants were randomly assigned to view one of three 9-13 minute clips cut from longer storylines:
- Grey’s Anatomy (N = 1,072): The episode “Trigger Happy” (2016) addresses the consequences of an accidental shooting that occurs after a child accesses a weapon at home during a playdate.
- New Amsterdam (N = 1,205): The episode “Perspectives” (2020) focuses on a child who is experiencing symptoms of trauma after participating in an active shooter drill with simulated gun violence at school.
- Chicago Med (N = 1,080): A multi-episode arc from the 2020-2021 season involves a foster child facing a medical emergency. This storyline was selected as the control condition because, like the gun storylines, it is from a medical drama and involves a child, but does not include any gun-related content.
All participants, regardless of which storyline they viewed, were then asked about their attitudes and knowledge towards gun-safety measures and policies, responses to the storyline, and demographic characteristics.6See Appendix E for survey items.
Analytic Strategy
Data were downloaded from Qualtrics into SPSS v28 for data cleaning and analysis. We analyzed differences in outcomes between each gun storyline and the control condition using analysis of covariance (ANCOVA), controlling for political ideology, as well as t-tests. We then used the PROCESS Macro in SPSS7Hayes, A. F. (2017). Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis: A regression-based approach. Guilford Publications. for moderation analyses to examine differences between audience segments, as well as mediation analyses to examine reactance as a mechanism.
Appendix C: Content Analysis Episode Sample
Season 1 Episodes (2019-2020)
SERIES | SEASON | NETWORK | E1 | E2 | E3 | E4 | E5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9-1-1 | 3 | FOX | 15 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 2 |
9-1-1: Lone Star | 1 | FOX | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
A Million Little Things | 2 | ABC | 12 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
American Horror Story | 9 | FX | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Chicago Fire | 8 | NBC | 1 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 14 |
Chicago Med | 5 | NBC | 4 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 2 |
Chicago PD | 7 | NBC | 4 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 16 |
Criminal Minds | 15 | CBS | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
FBI | 2 | CBS | 5 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
Grey’s Anatomy | 16 | ABC | 14 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 17 |
Law & Order: SVU | 21 | ABC | 7 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 3 |
Locke & Key | 1 | NETFLIX | 6 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Manifest | 2 | NBC | 7 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
NCIS | 17 | CBS | 11 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 |
New Amsterdam | 2 | NBC | 8 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 12 |
Outer Banks | 1 | NETFLIX | 1 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 8 |
Ozark | 3 | NETFLIX | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Prodigal Son | 1 | CBS | 16 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
Station 19 | 3 | ABC | 1 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
The Good Doctor | 3 | ABC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 |
The Rookie | 2 | ABC | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 |
The Walking Dead | 10 | AMC | 18 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
This Is Us | 4 | NBC | 18 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
Unbelievable | 1 | NETFLIX | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
You | 2 | NETFLIX | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Season 2 Episodes (2020-2021)
SERIES | SEASON | NETWORK | E1 | E2 | E3 | E4 | E5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9-1-1 | 4 | FOX | 3 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 6 |
9-1-1: Lone Star | 2 | FOX | 5 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 10 |
A Million Little Things | 3 | ABC | 16 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
Big Sky | 1 | ABC | 2 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
Chicago Fire | 9 | NBC | 1 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Chicago Med | 6 | NBC | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 |
Chicago PD | 8 | NBC | 7 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Cobra Kai | 3 | NETFLIX | 10 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
FBI | 3 | CBS | 2 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
FBI: Most Wanted | 2 | CBS | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
Ginny & Georgia | 1 | NETFLIX | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Grey’s Anatomy | 17 | ABC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 |
Law & Order: Organized Crime | 1 | NBC | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
Law & Order: SVU | 22 | NBC | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
Lucifer | 5 | NETFLIX | 12 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
NCIS | 18 | CBS | 14 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
New Amsterdam | 3 | NBC | 6 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
Outer Banks | 2 | NETFLIX | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Station 19 | 4 | ABC | 6 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 13 |
The Equalizer | 1 | CBS | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
The Good Doctor | 3 | ABC | 6 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
The Rookie | 3 | ABC | 8 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
The Walking Dead | 11 | AMC | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
This Is Us | 5 | NBC | 12 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Virgin River | 2 | NETFLIX | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
Appendix D: Codebook and Reliability Scores
Episode-Level Variables
ITEM | SCORE8A Cohen’s Kappa or Krippendorf’s Alpha value of 1.00 indicates perfect reliability (100% agreement). Scores between .80 and .99 are considered strong. Scores between .60 and .79 are considered borderline, and scores below .59 are consid- ered inadequate. Items with borderline reliability are shaded in blue, and items with inadequate reliability are shaded in grey. Some shaded items are still included in this report but should be interpreted with caution. | COEFFICIENT9Cohen’s Kappa was used for all categorical variables, Krippendorf’s Alpha was used for all numeric (count) variables. |
---|---|---|
TV Series Name | 1.00 | Kappa |
Season # | 1.00 | Kappa |
Episode # | 1.00 | Kappa |
In which American state does this episode primarily take place? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is there any firearm-related content in this episode (visual or dialogue)? [Yes/No] | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode provide any LINGUISTIC or CLEAR VISUAL information about where/how a character came into pos- session of a firearm? (Other than being issued in the line of duty.) | .65 | Kappa |
If the firearm was acquired from a person, what was the relationship? • Stranger • Acquaintance • Coworker • Friend • Romantic partner • Extended family member (cousin, uncle, etc.) • Close family member (child, sibling, parent) | .25 | Kappa |
Does this episode clearly show a firearm in STORAGE or in the process of being stored OR UNSTORED? | .82 | Kappa |
Does this episode show a firearm being LEFT OUT in the open—away from the presence of the possessor/owner? | .57 | Kappa |
Does this episode show a non-law-enforcement bystander attempting to intervene in an active shooting? | .49 | Kappa |
Does this episode show an active shooting that clearly takes place on or adjacent to a school campus? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode have dialogue or text with explicit mention or discussion of “gun safety” or safe gun practices? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode have dialogue or text explicitly discussing or referencing potential causes of “gun violence” as an abstract public issue? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode have dialogue or text that addresses govern- mental policy issues, regulations, laws, or programs pertaining to the prevalence of firearms (gun show loophole, right to bear arms, etc.)? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode have dialogue or text explicitly discussing the relationship between accessibility to guns (abstract or particular) and SUICIDE probability or statistics (abstract or particular)? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does this episode have dialogue or text explicitly discussing the relationship between accessibility to guns (abstract or particular) and DOMESTIC VIOLENCE probability or statistics (abstract or particular)? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Are any of the following unsafe gun behaviors depicted? Select all that apply • Impaired firearm use (clearly under the influence of alco- hol/drugs) • Shooting into the air (intentionally shooting upwards, not at a particular target) • Holding a firearm on or next to a school campus | 1.00 | Kappa |
How many characters are shown holding at least one firearm in-hand (unholstered)? | .98 | Alpha |
How many direct VICTIMS of gun violence are shown in this episode? | .96 | Alpha |
Character-Level Variables
ITEM | SCORE | COEFFICIENT |
---|---|---|
CHARACTER-LEVEL VARIABLES: CHARACTERS WITH GUNS | ||
What is the name of the [nth] character who holds an unholstered firearm? | 1.00 | Kappa |
What is the name of the ACTOR who plays this character? | 1.00 | Kappa |
How central is this character to the series? • Minor character (appears in fewer than 20% of season’s episodes) • Recurring character (appears in 20-84% of current season’s episodes) • Main character (appears in at least 85% of current season’s episodes) | .87 | Kappa |
Character gender • Man (cis or trans) • Woman (cis or trans) • Non-binary • Can’t tell/unable to judge/not applicable | 1.00 | Kappa |
Character age • 10 or younger • 11-17 • 18-30 • 31-64 • 65+ • Can’t tell/unable to judge/not applicable | .60 | Kappa |
Actor year of birth | 1.00 | Kappa |
Character race/ethnicity • White • Black/African American • Hispanic/Latinx • East Asian/Pacific Islander • Middle Eastern/South Asian • Mixed/other • Can’t tell/unable to judge/not applicable | .84 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as a law enforcement officer? | .97 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as an active military soldier, officer, or personnel? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as a school employee? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as a documented immigrant? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as an undocumented immigrant? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as transgender? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as having a long-term disability? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as having a mental health condition? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as addicted to a controlled substance other than tobacco? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Does the character discharge a firearm? • No • Yes, intentionally • Yes, unintentionally | .97 | Kappa |
Does this character discharge a firearm in the range of a law enforcement agent? • No • Yes • Unclear | .85 | Kappa |
How many bullets does the character fire? • 0 • 1 • More than 1 | .95 | Kappa |
Does the character shoot at least one person? (Bullet makes impact with any human body.) • No • Yes | .92 | Kappa |
What is the valence of this character? • Negative • Positive • Mixed or ambivalent | .70 | Kappa |
CHARACTER-LEVEL VARIABLES: GUN CASUALTIES | ||
What is the [nth] VICTIM’s name? | 1.00 | Kappa |
What is the name of the ACTOR who plays this character? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Was this character shot by a law enforcement officer? • No • Yes • Unclear | 1.00 | Kappa |
How central is this character to the series? • Minor character (appears in fewer than 20% of current season’s episodes) • Recurring character (appears in 20-84% of current season’s episodes) • Main character (appears in at least 85% of current season’s episodes) | .94 | Kappa |
Character gender • Man (cis or trans) • Woman (cis or trans) • Non-binary • Unclear | 1.00 | Kappa |
Character age • 10 or younger • 11-17 • 18-30 • 31-64 • 65+ • Unclear | .69 | Kappa |
Character race/ethnicity • White • Black/African American • Hispanic/Latinx • East Asian/Pacific Islander • Middle Easter/South Asian • Mixed/other • Can’t tell/unable to judge/not applicable | 1.00 | Kappa |
What is the valence of this character? • Negative • Positive • Mixed or ambivalent | .65 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as a law enforcement officer? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as an active military soldier, officer, or personnel? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as a documented immigrant? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as an undocumented immigrant? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as transgender? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as having a long-term disability? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as having a mental health condition? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Is the character explicitly identified as addicted to a controlled substance (other than tobacco)? | 1.00 | Kappa |
Appendix E: Survey Items
GUN STORAGE OUTCOME VARIABLES |
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To the best of your knowledge, please indicate which of the following statements is/are TRUE: [select all that apply]10True statements indicated in bold. Having a firearm in the home, even when it’s properly stored, makes you more likely to be shot. • Having a firearm in the home triples the risk of a suicide. • The majority of gun owners with children at home do not properly secure their guns. • Storing a gun properly (locked and unloaded) can help prevent unintentional shootings, though not fully eliminate risk. • More guns in a community (whether for self-defense, concealed carry, or recreational use) is associated with more homicides in that community. • None of the above are true |
Does/would having a gun in your household make you feel: • A lot less safe than you would feel without a gun in your household • A little less safe than you would feel without a gun in your household • No more or less safe • A little safer than you would feel without a gun in your household • Much safer than you would feel without a gun in your household |
Thinking about gun owners who DO NOT have children in their home, how important do you think it is for them to: • Keep all their guns in a locked place • Keep all of their guns unloaded • Learn proper gun safety measures • Advise adult visitors that there are guns in the house • Advise visitors with children that there are guns in the house • Store guns and ammunition separately • Train – practice regularly at a shooting range |
Thinking about gun owners who HAVE CHILDREN in their home, how important do you think it is for them to: • Keep all their guns in a locked place • Keep all of their guns unloaded • Learn proper gun safety measures • Advise adult visitors that there are guns in the house • Advise visitors with children that there are guns in the house • Store guns and ammunition separately • Train – practice regularly at a shooting range • Talk to their children about gun safety |
ACTIVE SHOOTER TRAINING OUTCOME VARIABLES |
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To what extent do you think each of the following would be EFFECTIVE at preparing schools and/or students for a real-life active shooter event? • Bringing together groups of students and teachers to talk through a hypothetical active shooter situation step-by-step without engaging in simulation (i.e., tabletop exercises). • Conducting active shooter school drills that simulate gun violence, but all individuals involved know that there is no real threat (i.e., announced active shooter drills). • Conducting active shooter school drills that simulate gun violence, in which some or all individuals involved believe it is a real-life active shooter event (i.e., unannounced active shooter drills). • Conducting lockdown drills, where students and teachers practice responding to an active shooter drill (e.g., hiding, staying quiet, clearing hallways), but includes NO simulated gun violence. • Online or software-based training only for teachers and/or students. • Employing law enforcement officers to provide armed security in school. • Allowing school security officers to carry guns in school. • Allowing teachers and other non-security school staff to carry guns in school. • Implementing policies and programs to prevent and intervene prior to a shooting, such as having anonymous tip lines, threat assessment teams, safe school design, and promoting secure storage of firearms by parents. |
Regardless of how effective you think each would be at preparing students and teachers for real-life active shooter situations, to what extent do you think each of the following would create EMOTIONAL HARM for students and teachers? • Bringing together groups of students and teachers to talk through a hypothetical active shooter situation step-by-step without engaging in simulation (i.e., tabletop exercises). • Conducting active shooter school drills that simulate gun violence, but all individuals involved know that there is no real threat (i.e., announced active shooter drills). • Conducting active shooter school drills that simulate gun violence, in which some or all individuals involved believe it is a real-life active shooter event (i.e., unannounced active shooter drills). • Conducting lockdown drills, where students and teachers practice responding to an active shooter drill (e.g., hiding, staying quiet, clearing hallways), but includes NO simulated gun violence. |
To what extent would you support or oppose the following policies/legislation regarding public schools: • Outlawing any type of active shooter drills in public schools that simulate gun violence. • Requiring schools to obtain parental consent before conducting any type of active shooter drill. • Requiring schools to screen all students for emotional trauma (e.g., PTSD) after active shooter drills to provide counseling when needed. • Requiring all public schools to participate in some sort of active shooter training (including lockdown drills with no gun simulation). • Employing law enforcement officers to provide armed security in school. • Allowing school security officers to carry guns in school. • Allowing teachers and non-security school staff to carry guns in school. • Requiring schools to have policies and programs to prevent and intervene prior to a shooting, such as having anonymous tips lines, threat assessment teams, safe school design, and promoting secure storage of firearms by parents. |
THEORETICAL VARIABLES: REACTANCE (Brehm, 1966) |
Indicate the extent to which you agree or disagree with each of the following statements (1= strongly disagree to 7= strongly agree): • The storyline tried to make a decision for me. • The storyline tried to pressure me. • The storyline threatened my freedom to choose. • The storyline tried to manipulate me. |
SCREENING ITEMS |
Please confirm your age: • I am 18 or older • I am under 18 years old |
Are there any guns in your household (NOT including air guns, such as paintball, BB, or pellet guns)? • Yes, I have a gun • Yes, a member of my household has a gun • No, I/we don’t have any guns |
Do you have any children under the age of 18? • Yes • No |
DEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLES |
With which gender do you most identify? • Male • Female • Non-binary • Decline to state |
Are you Hispanic or Latinx? • Yes • No |
Which of the following best represents your race? [Select all that apply] • American Indian or Alaska Native • Asian • Black or African American • Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander • Middle Eastern • White • Other (please specify) • Decline to state |
What is the highest level of school that you have completed or the highest degree you have received? • Less than high school degree • High school graduate (high school diploma or equivalent including GED) • Some college but no degree • Associate’s degree in college (2-year) • Bachelor’s degree in college (4-year) • Master’s degree • Doctoral degree/ professional degree (JD, MD, PhD) • Other (please specify) |
Information about income is very important to understand. Would you please give us your best guess? Please indicate the answer that includes your entire household income in 2020 before taxes. • $0 to $9,999 • $10,000 to $14,999 • $15,000 to $19,999 • $20,000 to $34,999 • $35,000 to $49,999 • $50,000 to $74,999 • $75,000 to $99,999 • $100,000 to $199,999 • $200,000 or more • Not sure / Decline to state |
Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation, if any? • None / Atheist / Agnostic • Buddhist • Catholic • Christian (please specify) • Hindu • Jewish • Muslim • Other (please specify) • Don’t know / Decline to state |
Overall, what description best represents your political ideology? • Very liberal • Liberal • Moderate • Conservative • Very conservative • Don’t know / Decline to state |
Which of the following best represents where you live? • Large city / Urban area • Small city / Suburban area • Countryside / Rural area • Other (please specify) • Not sure / Decline to state |
What is your current age? • 18 to 24 years • 25 to 34 years • 35 to 44 years • 45 to 54 years • 55 to 64 years • 65 to 74 years • 75 to 84 years • 85 years or above • Decline to state |
In partnership with
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USC Annenberg Norman Lear Center’s Media Impact Project
The Media Impact Project is a hub for collecting, developing and sharing approaches for measuring the impact of media, aiming to better understand the role that media plays in changing knowledge, attitudes and behavior among individuals and communities.